From Ground reports across the country and feedback collected from various agencies and sources indicate that on the four phases in which 371 seats of the Lok Sabha for which polling was completed by April 29 some clear picture emerge..
Congress young leader Priyanka entry in uttarpradesh politics , agrarian crisis , Unemployment unrest, GST resentment in trading community , demonetisation apathy Congress Election manifesto The desperation and pleading to voters in his home Gujarat state that is reflected in the PM’s election speeches may also be a measure of the growing panic in NDA ranks and corresponds to the feedback on the polls so far.
Here with UPA’s projected figure does not include the probable number of seats bagged by prospective post-poll allies like the Telugu Desam Party (TDP), All India Trinamool Congress (AITC), Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD).
in Kerala, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is set to win at least 15 seats out of the total 20 in the state.
In Tamil Nadu and the Union Territory of Puducherry which together account for 40 seats, where it is known for anit modi wave the Congress-DMK alliance with its other partners are poised for a clean sweep as done in 2004 .
In Karnataka, the Congress and Janata Dal (Secular) alliance is expected to win at least 16 seats.
The unexpected setback for the NDA, after UP in the north, could come from Maharashtra, . Thanks to Raj whose campaign benefited indirectly Congress-Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) alliance may end up winning at least 30 seats in the state. The NDA’s heaviest losses may have come in the Vidarbha region with a heavyweight candidate and a Union Minister in the Modi Cabinet slated to lose by a considerable margin.
Even Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s and BJP president Amit Shah’s home state of Gujarat, the Congress may repeat its performance in 2004 or 2009 polls by wresting more than 13 seats out of the 26 that have gone to the polls.
Coming to Chhattisgarh which has 11 Lok Sabha seats, the Congress is set to win at least 9 seats, most possibly may goes for clean sweep .
Thirteen of Rajasthan’s 25 states went to the polls on April 29. Data from the constituencies could not be accessed by different media sources indicate it may be said that the biggest upset in this round may be witnessed in the Jhalawar-Baran Lok Sabha constituency.
Three-time BJP MP and former Rajasthan Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje’s son Dushyant Singh is likely to lose this time if the reports hold good. Reports suggest that the Congress is set to win at least four of the six seats that went to polls on April 29.
Coming to the single biggest deciding state of the Lok Sabha polls, Uttar Pradesh (UP), even if one adds the combined vote share of SP, BSP and RLD in the 2014 General Election when Modi wave had swept the country, the BJP would have ended up with just 37 seats.
The data and reports accessed show the BJP’s tally in UP is slated to drop well below 20, in the low twenties in a best case scenario.
That is a straightaway loss of about 50 seats from UP alone. It could be seen the Congress’ strategy in UP was two-pronged . In seats, it sensed a chance of victory, it put up strong candidates and elsewhere it sought to help the SP-BSP-RLD alliance. Where as with growing infight and anti incumbency wave for yogi government the walk will be not over cake but throes.
With the Congress confident of doing extremely well in Punjab and considerably well in Haryana, the BJP’s chances of narrowing the gap rests primarily in West Bengal.
But data accessed show that the BJP may have a thin chance of a win in just one of the 18 seats of West Bengal polling for which have been held.
The Congress is slated for resounding victories in two seats and may pull off a fighting win in one or two more seats.
Even in Assam, where the BJP is in power, the numbers of 2014 may not change much in the BJP’s favour.
With 3 more phases to go the actual results are expected on May 23
If these trends prevailed in the last four phases of the Lok Sabha election if continues for next three phases in 2019, it may bring down shutters down for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the NDA government that reflects the mood of the nation across India